Congo vs Liechtenstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
11.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
CGO
2 - 2
GAB
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2007 |
CGO
2 - 1
EQG
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2006 |
CGO
0 - 1
MLI
27%
28%
45%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
CGO
3 - 1
CHA
75%
17%
8%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
RSA
0 - 0
CGO
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Liechtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2007 |
CHA
3 - 2
LIE
72%
16%
12%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2006 |
WAL
4 - 0
LIE
92%
7%
2%
|
24 | 87 | 63 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
LIE
0 - 4
DEN
6%
16%
78%
|
24 | 95 | 71 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2006 |
LIE
1 - 2
AUT
3%
10%
87%
|
24 | 88 | 64 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
SWE
3 - 1
LIE
94%
5%
1%
|
24 | 93 | 69 | 0 |