Congo vs Chad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
10.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
CHA
2 - 1
CGO
17%
23%
60%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
CGO
1 - 0
SDN
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
MLI
4 - 2
CGO
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
CHA
1 - 1
CGO
19%
24%
58%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
CGO
1 - 1
RSA
23%
25%
52%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
CHA
2 - 1
CGO
17%
23%
60%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
CHA
1 - 2
MLI
12%
22%
66%
|
47 | 81 | 34 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
CHA
1 - 1
CGO
19%
24%
58%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | +2 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
ZAM
1 - 1
CHA
77%
16%
7%
|
45 | 78 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
RSA
4 - 0
CHA
80%
15%
5%
|
45 | 81 | 36 | 0 |