Congo vs Chad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
RSA
0 - 0
CGO
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
CGO
0 - 0
CHA
76%
16%
8%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
EQG
2 - 1
CGO
29%
25%
46%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
CGO
2 - 3
TOG
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
MLI
2 - 0
CGO
59%
23%
17%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
CHA
0 - 2
ZAM
10%
16%
74%
|
45 | 77 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2006 |
CHA
6 - 7
GAB
13%
19%
68%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
CGO
0 - 0
CHA
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2006 |
EQG
1 - 1
CHA
69%
18%
12%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2005 |
SDN
1 - 1
CHA
82%
13%
6%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | 0 |