Congo vs Chad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.2%
+6
2%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
15.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
18.6%
2-0
19.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.4%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
22.5%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.3%
3.3%
Win probability
0.31
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1999 |
CGO
2 - 1
EQG
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
COD
1 - 1
CGO
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1997 |
RSA
1 - 0
CGO
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 1997 |
CGO
1 - 0
COD
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1997 |
ZAM
3 - 0
CGO
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1999 |
CHA
5 - 0
SMR
23%
21%
56%
|
21 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1999 |
DOM
4 - 1
CHA
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 61 | 40 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1997 |
BHR
1 - 1
CHA
75%
17%
9%
|
20 | 64 | 44 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1997 |
LBY
3 - 1
CHA
75%
16%
9%
|
20 | 69 | 49 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
CHA
0 - 1
JOR
24%
24%
51%
|
20 | 66 | 46 | 0 |