Congo vs Chad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
9.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1990 |
ANG
1 - 0
CGO
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1989 |
CHA
2 - 1
CGO
31%
25%
44%
|
65 | 14 | 51 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1989 |
CMR
1 - 0
CGO
75%
15%
10%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1989 |
CTA
1 - 2
CGO
31%
25%
45%
|
65 | 12 | 53 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1989 |
CGO
1 - 0
GAB
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1989 |
GAB
2 - 0
CHA
74%
16%
10%
|
16 | 63 | 47 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1989 |
CMR
0 - 0
CHA
88%
10%
2%
|
16 | 79 | 63 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1989 |
CHA
2 - 1
CGO
31%
25%
44%
|
14 | 65 | 51 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 1989 |
CTA
1 - 1
CHA
50%
23%
27%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1988 |
CTA
2 - 1
CHA
45%
24%
31%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -2 |