AFCON Qualifying 1st Round Final
Global 3-1
Congo vs Namibia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
23.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
NAM
1 - 0
CGO
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
CGO
2 - 2
LBY
34%
30%
36%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
ETH
0 - 1
CGO
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2014 |
GHA
1 - 0
CGO
77%
16%
8%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
NIG
2 - 2
CGO
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
NAM
1 - 0
CGO
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
NAM
1 - 1
TAN
36%
27%
38%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
NAM
0 - 1
GHA
15%
24%
62%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
NAM
0 - 0
MOZ
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
KEN
1 - 0
NAM
43%
27%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |