Congo vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
45.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
CGO
3 - 1
CHA
75%
17%
8%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
RSA
0 - 0
CGO
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
CGO
0 - 0
CHA
76%
16%
8%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
EQG
2 - 1
CGO
29%
25%
46%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
CGO
2 - 3
TOG
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
MLI
1 - 0
TOG
59%
24%
17%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
SLE
0 - 0
MLI
32%
27%
40%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
TUN
0 - 1
MLI
61%
23%
15%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
MLI
1 - 0
MAR
30%
31%
39%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
SEN
3 - 0
MLI
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |