Congo vs Equatorial Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
THA
1 - 1
CGO
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
EQG
2 - 2
CGO
22%
24%
54%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
ZIM
2 - 0
CGO
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CGO
1 - 1
COD
28%
25%
47%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
LBR
2 - 1
CGO
11%
16%
73%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
EQG
2 - 2
CGO
22%
24%
54%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
EQG
1 - 0
SSD
59%
22%
20%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
SSD
1 - 1
EQG
14%
17%
69%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
EQG
2 - 1
CHA
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
CHA
3 - 3
EQG
24%
21%
55%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |