Congo vs Equatorial Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
COD
1 - 1
CGO
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1997 |
RSA
1 - 0
CGO
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 1997 |
CGO
1 - 0
COD
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1997 |
ZAM
3 - 0
CGO
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
CMR
2 - 0
CGO
65%
21%
15%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
GAB
4 - 0
EQG
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1997 |
GUI
2 - 0
EQG
57%
24%
20%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1997 |
MLI
6 - 1
EQG
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1997 |
SLE
2 - 1
EQG
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1995 |
CPV
1 - 0
EQG
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |