Congo vs North Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
39.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 1
CGO
69%
21%
10%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
SDN
2 - 0
CGO
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
CGO
1 - 0
MLI
26%
28%
46%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
CGO
2 - 0
CHA
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
CHA
2 - 1
CGO
17%
23%
60%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
North Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
TWN
1 - 2
PRK
6%
16%
79%
|
78 | 40 | 38 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
HKG
0 - 0
PRK
14%
21%
66%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
PRK
9 - 2
GUM
92%
7%
1%
|
78 | 22 | 56 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
KSA
0 - 0
PRK
66%
22%
13%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
PRK
0 - 0
IRN
21%
27%
52%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |