Congo U20 vs Sudáfrica U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
58.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Congo U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2007 |
MEX
3 - 0
CGO
90%
9%
2%
|
39 | 70 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2007 |
CAN
0 - 2
CGO
83%
13%
5%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | +2 |
| 06 Jul. 2007 |
CHI
3 - 0
CGO
90%
8%
2%
|
37 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2007 |
CGO
1 - 1
AUT
7%
17%
77%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Sudáfrica U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
RSA
7 - 6
JPN
26%
23%
51%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
RSA
3 - 4
BRA
9%
17%
74%
|
51 | 86 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2012 |
RSA
1 - 0
NGA
26%
23%
51%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
RSA
2 - 0
GHA
13%
18%
69%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
RSA
1 - 3
ARG
10%
18%
72%
|
48 | 83 | 35 | 0 |