CAF U20 Preliminary stages Semi-finals
Global 4-1
Congo U20 vs Botsuana U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Congo U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 1
CGO
31%
25%
44%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
CGO
2 - 2
BFA
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
BFA
1 - 1
CGO
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
SEN
4 - 3
CGO
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
NGA
4 - 1
CGO
82%
13%
5%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Botsuana U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 1
CGO
31%
25%
44%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
NAM
1 - 1
BOT
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
BOT
0 - 0
NAM
29%
25%
46%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 1
RSA
12%
18%
70%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
LSO
1 - 0
BOT
47%
22%
31%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |