Condor Hamburg vs Ahrensburger TSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.9%
Win probability
3.68
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.3%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
9.1%
5.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+153%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Condor Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SVA
2 - 1
CON
62%
18%
20%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
HTH
6 - 0
CON
30%
20%
50%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
CON
7 - 0
HTB
71%
15%
14%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
VIE
1 - 3
CON
26%
19%
55%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
CON
1 - 5
CUR
53%
19%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Ahrensburger TSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ATS
0 - 2
HTH
20%
19%
61%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
HTB
3 - 5
ATS
78%
13%
9%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ATS
3 - 3
VIE
21%
19%
59%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CUR
2 - 4
ATS
93%
5%
2%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
VOW
8 - 0
ATS
95%
4%
1%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |