Condal vs Navarro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Condal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
AVI
3 - 0
CON
43%
26%
31%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
CON
0 - 0
ROB
63%
20%
16%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 1
CON
67%
18%
14%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CON
4 - 0
COL
62%
22%
16%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
LLA
0 - 0
CON
31%
25%
44%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Navarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ROB
1 - 3
NAV
54%
22%
23%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
NAV
1 - 3
COL
49%
25%
26%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CAU
3 - 1
NAV
83%
13%
5%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
NAV
1 - 0
CUD
50%
25%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
GIN
0 - 0
NAV
46%
26%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |