Condal vs Narcea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Condal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
MOS
1 - 0
CON
57%
22%
21%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
CON
1 - 1
NAI
25%
24%
51%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
CAU
4 - 0
CON
76%
16%
8%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
CON
0 - 1
UNI
24%
24%
53%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
AST
1 - 0
CON
59%
22%
19%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
NAR
5 - 0
TUR
49%
27%
24%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
PCF
0 - 0
NAR
52%
25%
23%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
NAR
0 - 0
COV
49%
25%
26%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
SIE
4 - 3
NAR
83%
13%
5%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
NAR
0 - 2
RTI
28%
29%
43%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |