Condal vs Luarca CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
39.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
12º
16º
14º
31
11º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Condal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
UDL
0 - 4
CON
89%
8%
3%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CON
1 - 2
TUI
22%
24%
54%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CEA
2 - 1
CON
54%
23%
23%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CON
1 - 1
RTI
27%
27%
46%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LLA
2 - 0
CON
71%
18%
11%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Luarca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LUA
0 - 2
CAU
18%
23%
59%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
LEA
1 - 0
LUA
67%
21%
12%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LUA
1 - 1
PRA
36%
24%
40%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
COV
1 - 0
LUA
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LUA
0 - 1
LEN
38%
25%
37%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |