Condal vs Atlético de Lugones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Condal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CON
2 - 0
GIN
40%
25%
35%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
AVI
1 - 1
CON
47%
24%
29%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CON
1 - 2
COL
32%
24%
44%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MAR
5 - 0
CON
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CON
1 - 0
TUI
22%
24%
54%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 1
UDL
28%
25%
47%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
GIN
1 - 2
ATL
73%
17%
10%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 3
COV
16%
23%
61%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
AVI
3 - 0
ATL
67%
19%
14%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ATL
0 - 1
CEA
30%
26%
44%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |