Concorezzese vs Crespi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.5%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
7.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concorezzese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CON
1 - 0
CIT
29%
23%
49%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 3
CON
66%
18%
16%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CON
1 - 2
COB
41%
23%
36%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CRI
2 - 2
CON
20%
21%
59%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CON
4 - 1
REA
85%
10%
4%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Crespi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
POL
5 - 1
CRE
62%
20%
19%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CRE
3 - 2
POL
31%
23%
46%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
PAD
5 - 1
CRE
81%
12%
7%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CRE
1 - 2
VIL
16%
20%
64%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SAL
4 - 3
CRE
37%
23%
39%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |