Concordia vs Union Quinto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
57.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
VNZ
3 - 0
CON
81%
13%
6%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
TRE
4 - 1
CON
83%
12%
5%
|
21 | 58 | 37 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
CON
0 - 3
TAM
31%
26%
43%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 2
CON
75%
16%
9%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
CON
1 - 1
USO
44%
23%
32%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Union Quinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
TAM
3 - 2
UNI
40%
24%
35%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 0
VNZ
23%
23%
54%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
USO
1 - 1
UNI
24%
23%
53%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
UNI
0 - 0
TRE
22%
27%
51%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
AST
1 - 1
UNI
20%
23%
57%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |