Concordia vs Union Quinto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
49.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
SAN
0 - 2
CON
75%
16%
9%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
CON
1 - 3
POR
17%
23%
60%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
VIR
2 - 1
CON
76%
16%
9%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
CON
2 - 2
GOR
48%
24%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
TRE
1 - 1
CON
66%
20%
15%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Union Quinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
UNI
0 - 1
SSE
41%
25%
34%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
DMG
0 - 1
UNI
41%
25%
34%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
UNI
0 - 1
SAC
40%
25%
35%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
ACS
3 - 0
UNI
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
UNI
2 - 0
BEL
38%
25%
37%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +2 |