Concordia vs Montebelluna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
POR
1 - 2
CON
68%
19%
13%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CON
1 - 1
BEL
55%
22%
23%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ROV
3 - 1
CON
62%
22%
17%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
CON
2 - 1
MON
58%
22%
20%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 2
CON
63%
20%
17%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Montebelluna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
MON
0 - 0
ACC
36%
26%
39%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
TAM
2 - 1
MON
64%
20%
16%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
MON
1 - 2
UNI
32%
25%
43%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
USO
0 - 1
MON
41%
25%
34%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
MON
1 - 0
TRE
16%
25%
59%
|
27 | 58 | 31 | +2 |