Concordia Elblag vs Ursus Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia Elblag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
CON
1 - 0
WAS
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
BRA
3 - 0
CON
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CON
4 - 3
WIK
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
LTM
2 - 1
CON
33%
24%
43%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
CON
1 - 1
PGM
21%
22%
56%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ursus Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 1
UWA
60%
21%
19%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
LTM
1 - 0
UWA
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
RAD
1 - 2
UWA
64%
19%
17%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
UWA
1 - 2
PEL
35%
24%
41%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
WIK
0 - 4
UWA
56%
21%
23%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |