Concordia Elblag vs Mielnik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia Elblag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
VWP
3 - 0
CON
29%
24%
46%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
CON
2 - 0
WAG
49%
24%
27%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
KOK
0 - 1
CON
24%
23%
52%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
CON
0 - 1
SDZ
65%
20%
15%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -2 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
OLI
0 - 2
CON
35%
26%
39%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mielnik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
MFC
1 - 1
HUR
17%
22%
61%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
PLP
1 - 1
MFC
58%
22%
20%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
MFC
2 - 2
MLP
52%
23%
25%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
TBP
1 - 0
MFC
41%
25%
34%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
KSS
2 - 0
MFC
74%
17%
9%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |