Concordia Basel U15 vs FC Aarau U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.4%
5-0
7.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.6%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.3%
2.6%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+150%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
6º
3º
6
8º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
35 | 35 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
6 | 6 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia Basel U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ZOB
1 - 4
CON
5%
11%
84%
|
28 | 10 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CON
3 - 2
FCZ
68%
17%
15%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LUZ
6 - 5
CON
51%
21%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CON
3 - 1
WIN
51%
21%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FC Aarau U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FCA
2 - 3
TTI
10%
15%
76%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GCZ
3 - 1
FCA
91%
7%
2%
|
11 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FCA
1 - 3
STG
7%
13%
80%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FCA
3 - 5
KRI
12%
16%
72%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |