Concórdia vs Jaraguá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
FFC
2 - 3
CAC
12%
19%
69%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
HER
1 - 1
CAC
31%
24%
45%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
CAC
0 - 0
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 2
CAC
58%
21%
21%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
CAC
2 - 1
CAM
34%
26%
41%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
JAR
2 - 5
HER
13%
17%
70%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
JAR
0 - 6
BAR
17%
19%
64%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
MAF
4 - 0
JAR
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
FFC
3 - 0
JAR
57%
20%
23%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
JAR
0 - 2
GUA
10%
18%
73%
|
23 | 52 | 29 | -1 |