Concórdia vs Jaraguá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
14.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
HER
2 - 1
CAC
28%
25%
48%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
CAC
3 - 1
POR
66%
18%
17%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 0
CAC
40%
25%
36%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
CAC
0 - 1
LIT
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
TUB
0 - 0
CAC
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
JAR
0 - 3
TUB
18%
23%
59%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
JAR
0 - 1
BAR
30%
23%
47%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
POR
1 - 4
JAR
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
JAR
0 - 1
MAF
45%
23%
33%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
JAR
1 - 0
JUV
17%
19%
64%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | +3 |