Concórdia vs Operário Mafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAC
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 4
CAC
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
CAC
5 - 1
MAF
61%
20%
19%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 1
CAC
22%
23%
55%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
JAR
2 - 3
CAC
16%
19%
65%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Operário Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
MAF
4 - 2
CAM
16%
24%
60%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
MAF
2 - 0
POR
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
CAC
5 - 1
MAF
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
MAF
0 - 2
HER
30%
24%
47%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MAF
0 - 1
LIT
21%
23%
56%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |