Concórdia vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 0
CAC
30%
27%
43%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
CAC
1 - 1
BRU
22%
26%
52%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
CAC
73%
18%
9%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
FFL
2 - 0
CAC
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CAC
3 - 2
NES
65%
21%
15%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
HER
2 - 0
MAR
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
CHA
12%
21%
67%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
AVA
2 - 2
MAR
83%
13%
4%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
CRI
9%
21%
70%
|
49 | 82 | 33 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 0
MAR
45%
26%
30%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |