Concórdia vs Hercílio Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
35.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CAC
3 - 0
CAC
73%
18%
9%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
BRU
0 - 0
CAC
66%
21%
14%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CAC
2 - 2
CHA
15%
24%
61%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 1
CAC
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CAC
0 - 0
BAR
56%
25%
20%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
HER
1 - 0
BAR
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
HER
0 - 0
CRI
22%
26%
52%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CAC
0 - 1
HER
12%
19%
69%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
HER
1 - 0
AVA
15%
22%
63%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
BRU
2 - 1
HER
64%
22%
14%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |