Concórdia vs Hercílio Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
26.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
JEC
1 - 0
CAC
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CAC
2 - 1
INT
34%
25%
42%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
AVA
0 - 2
CAC
81%
13%
6%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
BRU
4 - 2
CAC
42%
24%
34%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
CAC
3 - 2
TUB
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
HER
1 - 1
FFL
10%
18%
72%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
JEC
2 - 1
HER
68%
20%
12%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
HER
1 - 0
CHA
7%
18%
76%
|
46 | 80 | 34 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
INT
2 - 1
HER
54%
25%
21%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
HER
0 - 1
AVA
10%
19%
71%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | -1 |