Concórdia vs Hercílio Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
HER
1 - 3
CAC
32%
24%
44%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CAC
1 - 0
MAR
41%
26%
34%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 1
CAC
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
JUV
2 - 5
CAC
19%
21%
60%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
CAC
4 - 1
JAR
77%
15%
9%
|
48 | 19 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
HER
1 - 3
CAC
32%
24%
44%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
HER
3 - 1
CAM
40%
27%
33%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CAM
1 - 2
HER
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
4 - 0
HER
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
HER
2 - 0
JUV
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |