Concórdia vs Hercílio Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
34.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 1
CAC
44%
24%
32%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
CAC
0 - 0
GUA
24%
24%
53%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
CAM
1 - 1
CAC
62%
20%
18%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
CAC
1 - 1
MAF
54%
23%
22%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAC
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
HER
1 - 0
GUA
26%
26%
48%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
HER
2 - 3
CAM
34%
27%
39%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
MAF
1 - 4
HER
31%
26%
43%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
HER
3 - 2
BAR
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2017 |
FFC
0 - 2
HER
19%
20%
61%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |