Concórdia vs Hercílio Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
22%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
POR
1 - 2
CAC
16%
20%
64%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CAC
1 - 0
JUV
41%
24%
35%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
LIT
2 - 0
CAC
43%
25%
33%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CAC
2 - 1
TUB
39%
26%
36%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
CAC
0 - 0
MAR
30%
24%
46%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
JUV
3 - 1
HER
54%
24%
23%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
HER
3 - 2
LIT
24%
24%
52%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TUB
2 - 0
HER
63%
22%
16%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
HER
1 - 0
BAR
43%
23%
34%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
HER
2 - 0
JAR
61%
20%
19%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |