Concórdia vs Guarani de Palhoça analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
52.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
CAM
1 - 1
CAC
62%
20%
18%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
CAC
1 - 1
MAF
54%
23%
22%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAC
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 4
CAC
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
CAC
5 - 1
MAF
61%
20%
19%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Guarani de Palhoça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 1
JAR
85%
11%
4%
|
53 | 20 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
CAM
1 - 0
GUA
39%
25%
36%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 0
JUV
71%
18%
12%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 2
CAM
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
AVA
1 - 0
GUA
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |