Concórdia vs Chapecoense analysis

Concórdia Chapecoense
58 ELO 79
-17.5% Tilt -18.3%
3400º General ELO ranking 567º
102º Country ELO ranking 39º
ELO win probability
11.8%
Concórdia
21.4%
Draw
66.8%
Chapecoense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
Concórdia
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
66.8%
Win probability
Chapecoense
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.6%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Concórdia
-8%
+10%
Chapecoense

ELO progression

Concórdia
Chapecoense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Concórdia
Concórdia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 2025
JEC
Joinville
2 - 1
Concórdia
CAC
38%
27%
35%
58 56 2 0
19 Jan. 2025
CRI
Criciúma
2 - 0
Concórdia
CAC
82%
13%
5%
58 86 28 0
15 Jan. 2025
CAC
Concórdia
0 - 0
Barra FC
BAR
35%
27%
38%
58 59 1 0
10 Jan. 2025
CHA
Chapecoense
0 - 1
Concórdia
CAC
78%
16%
7%
58 79 21 0
21 Jul. 2024
BRA
Brasil de Pelotas
2 - 1
Concórdia
CAC
48%
29%
23%
59 63 4 -1

Matches

Chapecoense
Chapecoense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 2025
BRU
Brusque
1 - 2
Chapecoense
CHA
36%
29%
36%
79 76 3 0
19 Jan. 2025
CHA
Chapecoense
1 - 0
Marcílio Dias
MAR
81%
14%
5%
79 54 25 0
15 Jan. 2025
CFC
Caravaggio FC
1 - 1
Chapecoense
CHA
6%
14%
80%
79 38 41 0
10 Jan. 2025
CHA
Chapecoense
0 - 1
Concórdia
CAC
78%
16%
7%
79 58 21 0
24 Nov. 2024
MIR
Mirassol FC
1 - 0
Chapecoense
CHA
60%
23%
17%
79 85 6 0