Concórdia vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
66.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.6%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
JEC
2 - 1
CAC
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CRI
2 - 0
CAC
82%
13%
5%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
CAC
0 - 0
BAR
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
CHA
0 - 1
CAC
78%
16%
7%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 1
CAC
48%
29%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
BRU
1 - 2
CHA
36%
29%
36%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CHA
1 - 0
MAR
81%
14%
5%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
CFC
1 - 1
CHA
6%
14%
80%
|
79 | 38 | 41 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
CHA
0 - 1
CAC
78%
16%
7%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
MIR
1 - 0
CHA
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |