Concórdia vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
60.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 1
CAC
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CAC
0 - 0
BAR
56%
25%
20%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
CAC
0 - 0
FFL
18%
25%
57%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CRI
0 - 0
CAC
74%
18%
8%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
BRU
1 - 0
CAC
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
FFL
0 - 1
CHA
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
CRI
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
HER
1 - 0
CHA
18%
24%
58%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 0
AVA
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 0
YPI
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |