Concórdia vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
62%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 2
CAC
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
CAC
0 - 0
HER
42%
27%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
CAM
3 - 1
CAC
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 1
CAC
29%
26%
45%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
CAC
1 - 0
FFL
19%
25%
56%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
FFL
58%
24%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
JEC
2 - 1
CHA
14%
23%
63%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 3
BRU
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
ECP
2 - 0
CHA
6%
14%
81%
|
72 | 42 | 30 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 0
JUV
77%
16%
7%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |