Concórdia vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.4%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
78.3%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
11.7%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.6%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
CAC
2 - 1
TUB
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 2
CAC
41%
23%
37%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
CAC
1 - 1
AVA
8%
14%
78%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
BRU
1 - 1
CAC
64%
19%
17%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
JUV
0 - 0
CAC
28%
22%
49%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
CHA
3 - 1
CON
61%
25%
13%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2021 |
OPE
2 - 0
CHA
27%
29%
44%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 0
PPE
50%
29%
21%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 0
CHA
29%
28%
43%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 1
FFL
59%
27%
15%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |