Concórdia vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.8%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
83.9%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
12.8%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.7%
0-4
9%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12.3%
0-5
5.1%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.6%
0-6
2.4%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
CRI
2 - 1
CAC
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
CAC
1 - 2
LIT
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2019 |
LIT
1 - 1
CAC
32%
23%
45%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
LIT
1 - 4
CAC
38%
24%
39%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 2
CAC
24%
22%
54%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 0
AVA
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
VAS
1 - 1
CHA
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
CHA
3 - 0
CSA
56%
26%
18%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 0
CHA
75%
17%
8%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 1
BOT
38%
29%
34%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |