Concórdia vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
65.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
HER
3 - 0
CAC
61%
23%
17%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
JEC
1 - 2
CAC
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CAC
0 - 1
MAR
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 0
CAC
30%
27%
43%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
CAC
1 - 1
BRU
22%
26%
52%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
AVA
1 - 0
BAR
81%
14%
6%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
AVA
0 - 1
BRU
59%
22%
18%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FFL
1 - 2
AVA
28%
25%
47%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
AVA
2 - 3
CRI
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
JEC
2 - 2
AVA
13%
21%
67%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |