Concordia Basel vs Neuchâtel Xamax II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
15%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
15%
14.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
3º
8º
4º
39
1º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 52 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MUN
4 - 2
CON
45%
24%
32%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CON
4 - 1
LAN
58%
19%
24%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
KRE
5 - 1
CON
26%
22%
52%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
DEL
4 - 2
CON
58%
21%
21%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CON
0 - 1
FCK
65%
18%
17%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NEX
0 - 4
BLA
28%
25%
47%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 2
NEX
45%
22%
33%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NEX
5 - 3
DOR
47%
22%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
RTK
2 - 1
NEX
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
NEX
3 - 0
SOL
20%
19%
62%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +3 |