Concordia Basel vs Moutier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
31.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
FCK
1 - 1
CON
57%
20%
23%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CON
4 - 0
FCC
69%
15%
16%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CON
1 - 0
LIE
45%
20%
35%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
DOR
2 - 1
CON
74%
15%
11%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
CON
1 - 2
OLD
28%
20%
52%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
MOU
2 - 3
DOR
38%
24%
38%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
OLD
2 - 0
MOU
63%
19%
18%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
MOU
1 - 1
TAV
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
FCS
5 - 2
MOU
25%
21%
54%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MOU
2 - 2
LER
67%
18%
15%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |