Concordia Basel vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
50.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
BAU
0 - 1
CON
39%
27%
35%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
CON
1 - 2
WIL
40%
25%
35%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
WOH
1 - 0
CON
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
CON
0 - 0
CHI
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
YFJ
0 - 0
CON
38%
26%
37%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
WOH
1 - 2
FCL
19%
22%
59%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
FCL
2 - 1
FCV
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
FCL
2 - 1
WIL
56%
22%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
KRI
0 - 1
FCL
26%
23%
51%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
FCL
2 - 1
SIO
43%
26%
32%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |