Concordia Basel vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
33.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
CON
1 - 2
BUL
60%
21%
19%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
WIL
1 - 1
CON
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
SIO
3 - 0
CON
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
CON
1 - 1
BAD
63%
20%
17%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
WOH
0 - 0
CON
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
FCL
5 - 1
WIL
38%
25%
37%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
BAD
0 - 2
FCL
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
BUL
3 - 5
FCL
44%
24%
32%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
FCL
2 - 1
WOH
53%
24%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
BEL
3 - 2
FCL
44%
24%
32%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |