Concordia Basel vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
29.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2006 |
BAU
0 - 2
CON
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
CON
3 - 1
BAD
71%
18%
12%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
SIO
1 - 0
CON
70%
20%
11%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
CON
1 - 3
LAU
26%
24%
51%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
FCV
1 - 1
CON
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2006 |
LUG
2 - 0
LOC
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
LUG
0 - 3
SIO
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
FCL
3 - 2
LUG
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
LUG
4 - 1
MEY
68%
21%
11%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
LUG
2 - 1
WIN
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |