Concordia Basel vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
55.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
CHI
2 - 1
CON
52%
25%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
CON
2 - 1
FCL
44%
23%
33%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
CON
1 - 2
BUL
60%
21%
19%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
WIL
1 - 1
CON
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
SIO
3 - 0
CON
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
LUG
0 - 0
WIL
64%
22%
15%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
BUL
1 - 2
LUG
21%
24%
56%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
LUG
1 - 0
WOH
74%
18%
9%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
BEL
2 - 1
LUG
20%
23%
56%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
BAD
0 - 1
LUG
16%
23%
61%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | 0 |