Concordia Basel vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
72%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.2%
0-2
16%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2002 |
WIN
1 - 1
CON
68%
18%
15%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2002 |
CON
2 - 4
LAU
21%
23%
56%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2002 |
SCH
1 - 1
CON
51%
23%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2002 |
CON
3 - 3
FCV
34%
24%
41%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2002 |
BEL
2 - 1
CON
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2002 |
LUG
2 - 0
YVE
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2002 |
LUG
1 - 0
SIO
58%
22%
19%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2002 |
BAD
0 - 2
LUG
21%
24%
56%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2002 |
BAS
4 - 3
LUG
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
LUG
1 - 3
SER
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |