Concordia Basel vs Langenthal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.6%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.3%
5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
9º
6º
32
7º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
DIE
2 - 0
CON
14%
18%
68%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CON
0 - 3
FCK
83%
11%
6%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CON
3 - 2
RTK
58%
21%
22%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
BAS
3 - 2
CON
13%
18%
69%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CON
3 - 1
SOL
55%
21%
24%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Langenthal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
LAN
1 - 2
THU
23%
20%
57%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
BLA
2 - 0
LAN
81%
12%
7%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SEC
3 - 3
LAN
37%
24%
39%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
LAN
1 - 0
MUN
26%
23%
52%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MUT
2 - 0
LAN
80%
12%
8%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |