Concesio vs Verolese 1911 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
60.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concesio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
GUS
1 - 2
CON
67%
18%
15%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
VAL
0 - 0
CON
58%
21%
21%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CON
3 - 0
CAL
49%
23%
29%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ADR
2 - 0
CON
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CON
1 - 0
BOR
79%
13%
7%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Verolese 1911
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
VER
1 - 2
CAL
80%
13%
7%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ADR
2 - 2
VER
40%
23%
37%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
VER
2 - 0
BOR
84%
11%
5%
|
39 | 15 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
REA
1 - 2
VER
19%
21%
59%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
VER
1 - 0
NAV
69%
18%
14%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |