Concesio vs Calcinato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
54.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concesio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
BED
0 - 0
CON
72%
17%
11%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CON
1 - 2
GOV
22%
22%
56%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
CON
0 - 1
DAK
21%
22%
57%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
VER
4 - 1
CON
75%
16%
10%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CON
2 - 1
GUS
31%
24%
45%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Calcinato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 4
CAL
72%
16%
12%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ADR
1 - 3
CAL
50%
22%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 2
CAL
57%
21%
23%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 1
BOR
84%
11%
5%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
REA
2 - 2
CAL
26%
23%
51%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |